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Oracle is converting its database and enterprise software position into rapid AI cloud growth and a huge backlog, while debt and infrastructure spending create material execution risk.
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Form 4 reports insider transactions. Schedule 13D and 13G filings report certain significant ownership positions. 13F reports institutional holdings when filed by an investment manager. Always open the original filing for context.
This is a data-generated overview, not a published Rithvik Chethan research rating. Figures use the latest usable company filing and may differ from vendor-calculated trailing metrics.
Annual values from SEC filings. Free cash flow is calculated as operating cash flow less capital expenditures.
Review the Earnings tab for the expected date and estimates.
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EMA, RSI, MACD, volume, structure, and key levels update after a completed daily candle.
The overall score is a weighted research judgment covering business quality, fundamental strength, growth catalysts, valuation, technical condition, and downside risk. A high score does not eliminate risk, and a low score does not guarantee poor performance.
The rating combines business quality, fundamentals, growth, valuation, technicals, and risk. It is a research opinion, not a price target or prediction.
Oracle sells cloud infrastructure, databases, enterprise applications, software support, hardware, and professional services. Its major products include Oracle Cloud Infrastructure, Autonomous Database, Fusion Cloud ERP, NetSuite, Human Capital Management, industry applications, and Oracle Health.
The business model combines:
Oracle's moat comes from mission-critical databases, high switching costs, enterprise relationships, integrated applications, and the ability to run Oracle databases across OCI, Microsoft Azure, Google Cloud, and Amazon Web Services.
Fiscal fourth-quarter revenue increased 21% to $19.2 billion. Total cloud revenue increased 47% to $9.9 billion, led by 93% growth in cloud infrastructure. Cloud applications grew 10%. Software revenue declined 2% as customers continued moving from on-premise products to cloud services.
Quarterly GAAP operating income increased 20% to $6.1 billion, and GAAP net income available to common shareholders increased 23% to $4.2 billion. Non-GAAP operating income increased 22% to $8.6 billion.
Full-year revenue increased 17% to $67.4 billion. Cloud revenue increased 39% to $34.0 billion, including 77% growth in infrastructure revenue to $18.1 billion and 11% growth in cloud applications to $15.9 billion. Cloud represented 51% of total revenue, up from 43% in fiscal 2025.
Full-year GAAP operating income reached $20.6 billion, and GAAP net income available to common shareholders reached $17.0 billion. Reported EPS benefited from investment gains, so core operating growth is more useful than headline earnings alone.
Remaining performance obligations reached $638 billion, up 363% year over year and $85 billion sequentially. Management guided fiscal 2027 revenue to $90 billion and expects first-quarter revenue growth of 27% to 29%.
Oracle says prepaid or customer-supplied hardware tied to large AI contracts totals $75 billion, reducing some funding requirements. Even so, the balance sheet is much more leveraged and capital intensive than a traditional software company.
Near $147 per share, Oracle's equity value was approximately $428 billion. The stock traded around 26.4 times trailing GAAP earnings and approximately 6.4 times fiscal 2026 revenue.
That valuation is reasonable relative to Oracle's current cloud growth and contracted backlog, but earnings do not fully capture the cash cost of the infrastructure buildout. Debt, leases, capital commitments, dilution, and negative free cash flow must be considered alongside the P/E ratio.
Oracle's live panel recalculates its EMA ribbon, 200-day EMA, RSI, MACD, volume, ATR, support, resistance, and trend after every completed daily candle. The stock can gap on earnings, large AI contracts, financing, customer announcements, and changes in cloud guidance.
A healthier setup combines price above the 50-day and 200-day averages, a bullish EMA stack, and breakouts supported by stronger volume. At current investment levels, weak price reaction to strong backlog or revenue results can signal that expectations are already high.
The automated panel estimates fair value gaps, order blocks, breaks of structure, changes of character, and nearby liquidity zones from completed daily candles. Use them as potential reaction areas and confirm them with price action, volume, and defined risk.
The main checkpoints are OCI growth, backlog conversion, fiscal 2027 guidance, capex, free cash flow, debt, financing, dilution, data-center delivery, and customer concentration.
Final view: Oracle earns a moderately bullish 79 because OCI growth, multicloud databases, enterprise software, fiscal 2027 guidance, and a $638 billion backlog provide exceptional upside. Negative free cash flow, heavy debt, continued financing, dilution, customer concentration, and data-center execution risk keep the thesis from scoring higher.
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Oracle is back in focus after a volatile run in its share price, and the key issue now is whether the cash the business can generate is enough to justify where the stock trades today. Over the past 5 years, Oracle has delivered a total return of 69.5%, which puts real weight on the question of whether its future cash flows can support that kind of long haul. Heavy investment in AI data centers, health software and life sciences platforms, alongside rising debt funding and layoffs, may...
Oracle currently trades at $149.10 per share and has shown little upside over the past six months, posting a small loss of 3.4%. The stock also fell short of the S&P 500’s 18% gain during that period.
Oracle’s latest layoffs are scheduled for November.
Advanced Micro Devices crossed a $1 trillion market value for the first time on September 21 after the shares jumped roughly 10%, a milestone that forces investors to ask what kind of AI business is already embedded in the price. One answer is sitting inside Oracle Corporation (NYSE:ORCL): Oracle and Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) […]
History begins when the upgraded snapshot records each completed trading day. New entries will accumulate automatically.
Recalculated automatically from daily market data. Values are cached for one hour and use the latest completed candle. Smart money zones are algorithmic estimates and should be confirmed on the chart.
